- S&P 500 +0.87%
- Despite a rally this year, less than 1/3 of the stocks in the S&P 500 have outperformed the index.
- Apple and Microsoft make up 14% of the S&P 500.
- The S&P trades at 18x next year’s earnings versus a 16.9x five-year average (for the period ending 2019), and interest rates are much higher now.
- The average recession drops EPS by 31%.
- The debt ceiling crisis is still out there and will have to be dealt with soon.