{"id":5621,"date":"2026-01-04T19:37:59","date_gmt":"2026-01-05T00:37:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?p=5621"},"modified":"2026-01-04T19:37:59","modified_gmt":"2026-01-05T00:37:59","slug":"week-ending-01-02-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?p=5621","title":{"rendered":"Week Ending 01\/02\/2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>MARKET RECAP<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>US stocks were up by 1.05%, for 2025, +17.10%. International stocks +1.23% and +32.35% for the year. Bonds -0.17% and +7.19% for the year.<\/li>\n<li>Trump took out Venezuelan Dictator Maduro in a stunning midnight attack. He was a bad guy; the country had fallen deeper and deeper into economic despair, millions had to flee the country and lost everything; he deserved to be removed. He was given opportunities to leave on better terms, but he refused. Now, we determine whether the Administration has a plan and whether it will work.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h2> <strong>Markets &amp; Investor Sentiment<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>U.S. equity strategists broadly expect <strong>continued market gains in 2026<\/strong>, despite elevated valuations, driven by earnings growth expectations and anticipated rate cuts<\/li>\n<li>Late-December trading volumes were <strong>thin due to holidays<\/strong>, amplifying short-term market moves and profit-taking<\/li>\n<li>Stock Trader Almanac&#8217;s Santa Claus rally is measured by the last five-days of the trading year and it ended in the red, with a 0.87% loss. This is one of three indicators that run through the end of January that supposedly gives a signal for the upcoming year. That made it three years in a row, first time since 1950.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h2> <strong>Monetary Policy &amp; Rates<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Markets remain focused on <strong>Fed guidance for 2026<\/strong>, following multiple rate cuts in late 2025<\/li>\n<li>Debate continues over the <strong>pace and extent of further easing<\/strong>, with inflation risks still monitored closely<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h2> <strong>Global Economy<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Global growth outlook for 2026<\/strong> remains cautiously optimistic, led by the U.S. and China, though valuation risk and geopolitical uncertainty persist<\/li>\n<li>China announced <strong>~$8.9B in consumer stimulus funding<\/strong> for 2026 to support domestic demand (electronics, EVs, appliances)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>\ufe0f <strong>Corporate &amp; Capital Markets<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Private equity exit activity remains constrained<\/strong>; record use of continuation vehicles highlights valuation gaps and slower deal flow<\/li>\n<li>Analysts flag potential <strong>liquidity and pricing stress<\/strong> in private credit and leveraged assets entering 2026<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h2> <strong>Policy &amp; Fiscal Developments<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>U.S. economists highlight <strong>material economic impact expected from 2026 tax policy changes<\/strong>, including rate and deduction adjustments, that should help the economy.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>\u26a0\ufe0f <strong>Key Risks to Watch<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Elevated equity valuations, especially in tech and AI-linked stocks<\/li>\n<li>Inflation re-acceleration risk impacting Fed policy trajectory<\/li>\n<li>Geopolitical tensions and private-market valuation pressures<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p>SCOREBOARD<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Scoreboard-01-02-2026.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-5622\" src=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Scoreboard-01-02-2026-69x300.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"69\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Scoreboard-01-02-2026-69x300.png 69w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Scoreboard-01-02-2026-236x1024.png 236w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Scoreboard-01-02-2026-355x1536.png 355w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Scoreboard-01-02-2026-473x2048.png 473w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Scoreboard-01-02-2026.png 573w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 69px) 100vw, 69px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MARKET RECAP US stocks were up by 1.05%, for 2025, +17.10%. International stocks +1.23% and +32.35% for the year. Bonds -0.17% and +7.19% for the year. Trump took out Venezuelan Dictator Maduro in a stunning midnight attack. He was a &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?p=5621\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1893,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5621","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5621","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1893"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5621"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5621\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5623,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5621\/revisions\/5623"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5621"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5621"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5621"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}