{"id":5451,"date":"2025-04-06T21:05:40","date_gmt":"2025-04-07T01:05:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?p=5451"},"modified":"2025-04-06T22:17:32","modified_gmt":"2025-04-07T02:17:32","slug":"week-ending-4-4-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?p=5451","title":{"rendered":"Week Ending 4\/4\/2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>MARKET RECAP<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Trump is leading us to economic suicide &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?p=5448\">see our article on tariffs &#8211; https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?p=5448.<\/a><\/li>\n<li>US stocks -9.13%, Nasdaq -10.02%. It was the worst week since March of 2020.<\/li>\n<li>Small caps (-25%) and the Nasdaq (-22%) are now in a bear market.<\/li>\n<li>Stocks are now trading at 19x 2025 estimates, but the estimates will come down.<\/li>\n<li>The VIX is at 45, a very high number historically.<\/li>\n<li>The 2-year yield is down 57 basis points year-to-date, at 3.68%. The 10-year has declined by the same amount and is now at 4.01%.<\/li>\n<li>In some good news, jobs increased by 228k in March, although that is a backward-looking number and was before all of the tariff craziness.<\/li>\n<li>Recession odds are dramatically increasing; JPM has a 60% probability.<\/li>\n<li>The only faint hope is that the courts rule that there is no &#8220;emergency&#8221; and Trump cannot just randomly increase tariffs, or that Congress pulls back the authority from Trump, or that this is indeed, just a negotiating ploy and the goal is to get everyone to zero percent tariff rates, but the damage will still be severe unless these policies are reversed very soon.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>SPX<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/spx-04042025.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-5456\" src=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/spx-04042025-300x138.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"138\" srcset=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/spx-04042025-300x138.png 300w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/spx-04042025-1024x470.png 1024w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/spx-04042025-768x353.png 768w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/spx-04042025-500x230.png 500w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/spx-04042025.png 1230w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>SCOREBOARD<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Scoreboard-04-06-2025.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-5452\" src=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Scoreboard-04-06-2025-76x300.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"76\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Scoreboard-04-06-2025-76x300.png 76w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Scoreboard-04-06-2025-259x1024.png 259w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Scoreboard-04-06-2025-389x1536.png 389w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Scoreboard-04-06-2025-519x2048.png 519w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Scoreboard-04-06-2025.png 573w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 76px) 100vw, 76px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MARKET RECAP Trump is leading us to economic suicide &#8211; see our article on tariffs &#8211; https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?p=5448. US stocks -9.13%, Nasdaq -10.02%. It was the worst week since March of 2020. Small caps (-25%) and the Nasdaq (-22%) are now &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?p=5451\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1893,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5451","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5451","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1893"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5451"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5451\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5457,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5451\/revisions\/5457"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5451"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5451"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5451"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}