{"id":4922,"date":"2023-03-12T19:59:03","date_gmt":"2023-03-12T23:59:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?p=4922"},"modified":"2023-03-12T19:59:03","modified_gmt":"2023-03-12T23:59:03","slug":"week-ending-3-10-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?p=4922","title":{"rendered":"Week Ending 3\/10\/2023"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>MARKET RECAP<\/p>\n<p>Stocks took a big hit, falling by 5.06% in the US and 3.44% outside the US. Bonds rallied on lower interest rates. The fall in US markets put equities back below the declining trend line and lower than the 200-day moving average. On Tuesday, Fed Chair Powell&#8217;s comments indicated a chance of a 50 basis point increase at the next Fed meeting, a hawkish stance. Then, on Friday, the Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB) failed.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/VTI-03-10-2023.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-4925\" src=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/VTI-03-10-2023-300x131.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"131\" srcset=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/VTI-03-10-2023-300x131.png 300w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/VTI-03-10-2023-1024x447.png 1024w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/VTI-03-10-2023-768x335.png 768w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/VTI-03-10-2023-1536x671.png 1536w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/VTI-03-10-2023-500x218.png 500w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/VTI-03-10-2023.png 1569w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>SIVB was taken over by regulators.\u00a0 The bank had $200 billion in assets and was the second biggest bank failure of all time, trailing Washington Mutual ($300 billion) in 2008. The bank relied on private equity funding as compared to regular deposits while at the same time having a very high level of loans. The vast majority of the assets the funds held were classified as &#8220;hold-to-maturity,&#8221; which means the bank did not have to mark the bonds to market. Given the dramatic increase in interest rates, the bonds had substantial unrealized losses. It wasn&#8217;t that the bonds were not creditworthy, just that the duration mismatch (holding long-term assets while having short-term liabilities) left SIVB susceptible to a bank run, and that is what happened. Even before the &#8220;run,&#8221; customers pulled money from SIVB to get higher interest rates elsewhere. What happens now remains to be seen. But the first casualty might be the Circle stablecoin, which had $3 billion of its $40 billion in reserves at the bank.<\/p>\n<p>The failure sent yields plunging. The 2-year treasury yield fell by 31 basis points on Friday to 4.59% and 45 basis points over two days.<\/p>\n<p>The February jobs number outpaced estimates. Nonfarm payrolls were up by 311,000 compared to the estimate of 215,000. The rise in average hourly earnings was only 0.2%, less than expected. And there was higher participation. Overall a good report, but the bank failure entirely overshadowed this.<\/p>\n<p>SCOREBOARD<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Scoreboard-03-10-2023.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-4926\" src=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Scoreboard-03-10-2023-87x300.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"87\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Scoreboard-03-10-2023-87x300.png 87w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Scoreboard-03-10-2023-296x1024.png 296w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Scoreboard-03-10-2023-444x1536.png 444w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Scoreboard-03-10-2023.png 573w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 87px) 100vw, 87px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MARKET RECAP Stocks took a big hit, falling by 5.06% in the US and 3.44% outside the US. Bonds rallied on lower interest rates. The fall in US markets put equities back below the declining trend line and lower than &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?p=4922\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1893,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4922","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4922","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1893"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4922"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4922\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4927,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4922\/revisions\/4927"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4922"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4922"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4922"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}