{"id":1640,"date":"2016-12-12T08:34:00","date_gmt":"2016-12-12T13:34:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?p=1640"},"modified":"2016-12-12T08:34:00","modified_gmt":"2016-12-12T13:34:00","slug":"week-ending-1292016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?p=1640","title":{"rendered":"Week Ending 12\/9\/2016"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>PERFORMANCE<\/p>\n<p>It was back to the races as equity markets around the world shot higher. US markets were up 3.39% and international was up 3.15%. Bonds fell again, down 0.17%. The dollar was up and oil was down.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?attachment_id=1644\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-1644\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-1644\" src=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/Performance-Dec-9-2016-300x82.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"82\" srcset=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/Performance-Dec-9-2016-300x82.png 300w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/Performance-Dec-9-2016-500x137.png 500w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/Performance-Dec-9-2016.png 516w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>It feels like a mad dash higher, and the sentiment is that this will continue at least through year end. The Dow, closed at 19,756, and investors consider it a given that it will hit 20,000 any day.\u00a0 A lot of the Dow advance is powered by Goldman Sachs (GS). The Dow is weighted by price\u00a0per share so Goldman, at $241 per share,\u00a0accounts for 8.4% of the Dow. GS has rallied 32% since the election resulting in a gain of 408\u00a0points.\u00a0 By contract, the next biggest contributor since the election is UnitedHealth (UNH)\u00a0with 103 points.<\/p>\n<p>Optimism is extremely high. CNN measures sentiment through their Fear &amp; Greed Index and the most recent reading is &#8220;extreme greed.&#8221; This compares to one month ago, when the gauge was marked &#8220;fear.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?attachment_id=1645\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-1645\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-1645\" src=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/CNN-Fear-and-Greed-Index-300x158.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"158\" srcset=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/CNN-Fear-and-Greed-Index-300x158.png 300w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/CNN-Fear-and-Greed-Index-500x263.png 500w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/CNN-Fear-and-Greed-Index.png 646w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Volatility Index (VIX) closed at 11.75. That is a very low reading. The last time the VIX went below 12 was for a few days between September 2 and September 7 when the SPY was about $219. That turned out to be a high and the market then sold off to $208.55 through the election.<\/p>\n<p>Treasury rates were up during the week. But in a change, the long-end of the curve\u00a0increased less than the short-end.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?attachment_id=1646\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-1646\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-1646\" src=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/Treasury-Rates-12-9-2016-300x171.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"171\" srcset=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/Treasury-Rates-12-9-2016-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/Treasury-Rates-12-9-2016.png 388w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>ECONOMY<\/p>\n<p>For the second straight week, the Atlanta Fed&#8217;s GDPNow model for Q4 growth declined, falling to 2.6%. Two weeks ago, growth was forecast at 3.6%, so there has been a big drop in just two weeks. A lower estimate on the contribution from inventory investment accounted for much of the change. The NY Fed&#8217;s Nowcast remained steady at 2.7%.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?attachment_id=1647\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-1647\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-1647\" src=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/GDP-Estimates-12-9-2016-300x149.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"149\" srcset=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/GDP-Estimates-12-9-2016-300x149.png 300w, https:\/\/envisionco.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/GDP-Estimates-12-9-2016.png 324w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>More signs that the Trump win is increasing confidence, the Duke University\/CFO Magazine Business Outlook Survey hit its highest level since the first quarter of 2007. CFOs cited regulatory and corporate tax reform for the improved optimism.<\/p>\n<p>Initial jobless claims fell to 258k.<\/p>\n<p>Healthcare has been a big drag on the economy for years and it is only getting worse. The video below\u00a0summarizes the negative impact on the US economy.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forefieldkt.com\/kt\/htmlnl.aspx?type=fca&amp;id=70&amp;mid=145667&amp;iplf=ai&amp;ciid=1778393\">Click here for video of healthcare of US economy.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>PERFORMANCE It was back to the races as equity markets around the world shot higher. US markets were up 3.39% and international was up 3.15%. Bonds fell again, down 0.17%. The dollar was up and oil was down. It feels &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/?p=1640\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1640","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1640","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1640"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1640\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1652,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1640\/revisions\/1652"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1640"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1640"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/envisionco.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1640"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}